Sun, Dec 15, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 010 | 16 | 122 |
| CHI | 310 | 015 | 015 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:45CHIMarian HossaSHAssists: Jonathan Toews, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 9:59CHIKris VersteegGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 19:31CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–3
- P3 16:06LAKAlec MartinezAssists: Matt Greene, Jordan Nolan · Snap, 0.02 xG1–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:09LAKKyle Clifford: Tripping2 min
- P1 5:09CHIJohnny Oduya: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:18LAKJarret Stoll: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:14LAKAlec Martinez: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 8:50CHIMarcus Kruger: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:25CHIAndrew Shaw: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Handzus won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Williams – Stoll – Brown11:38
xG 0.17–0.29 (36%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Carcillo – Lewis – Nolan9:11
xG 0.10–0.30 (25%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Richards – Clifford – Toffoli8:22
xG 0.17–0.43 (28%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Carter – Kopitar – King11:25
xG 0.18–0.65 (22%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Greene – Muzzin2:06
xG 0.04–0.02 (73%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty15:30
xG 0.11–0.31 (27%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez9:14
xG 0.06–0.36 (14%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews10:56
xG 0.97–0.09 (92%)attempts 17–4goals 0–1
- Handzus – Versteeg – Kane10:19
xG 0.39–0.14 (74%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig7:54
xG 0.08–0.11 (42%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson14:46
xG 0.81–0.18 (82%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook11:26
xG 0.59–0.14 (81%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Rozsival – Leddy9:31
xG 0.38–0.02 (95%)attempts 11–1goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).