Fri, Dec 20, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 03 | 114 | 16 | 01 | 2 | 324 |
| CHI | 110 | 17 | 08 | 01 | 1 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:49CHIKris VersteegAssists: Patrick Kane, Michal Handzus · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 4:57CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Michal Rozsival, Johnny Oduya · Wrist, 0.27 xG0–2
- P2 8:19VANZack KassianAssists: Jason Garrison · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 10:48VANDaniel SedinAssists: Kevin Bieksa, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 2. VAN Mike Santorelli scored
- 3. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 4. VAN Daniel Sedin stopped
- 5. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
- 6. VAN Henrik Sedin stopped
- 7. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 8. VAN Zack Kassian stopped
- 9. CHI Brandon Saad stopped
- 10. VAN Yannick Weber stopped
- 11. CHI Ben Smith stopped
- 12. VAN David Booth stopped
- 13. CHI Kris Versteeg stopped
- 14. VAN Zac Dalpe stopped
- 15. CHI Michal Handzus stopped
- 16. VAN Ryan Kesler scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 15:55VANYannick Weber: Holding2 min
- P1 18:39CHIBrandon Bollig: Interference2 min
- P2 2:24CHIMichal Rozsival: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:53VANJason Garrison: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:06CHIBryan Bickell: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 18:14VANRyan Kesler: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:15CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:08VANRyan Kesler: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Sedin – Sedin – Hansen10:29
xG 0.27–0.47 (36%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Sestito – Dalpe – Weise2:18
xG 0.02–0.28 (6%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Richardson – Booth – Kassian6:19
xG 0.06–0.39 (13%)attempts 1–7goals 1–1
- Higgins – Kesler – Santorelli10:52
xG 0.30–0.64 (32%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Tanev3:53
xG 0.16–0.05 (78%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa2:12
xG 0.04–0.03 (55%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Garrison3:53
xG 0.17–0.21 (45%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Kane – Shaw2:13
xG 0.57–0.03 (95%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews11:19
xG 0.70–0.18 (80%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Handzus – Versteeg – Kane8:11
xG 0.42–0.20 (67%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig4:03
xG 0.28–0.16 (63%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook14:14
xG 0.82–0.38 (68%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson12:54
xG 0.55–0.36 (61%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Rozsival – Leddy10:22
xG 0.27–0.29 (48%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).