Fri, Dec 27, 2013·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, New Jersey Devils 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 010 | 09 | 03 | 1 | 230 |
| NJD | 05 | 04 | 18 | 00 | 0 | 117 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:34CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Cam Atkinson · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–0
- P3 5:45NJDAdam HenriqueAssists: Patrik Elias, Marek Zidlicky · Snap, 0.30 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. NJD Jaromir Jagr stopped
- 2. CBJ Mark Letestu stopped
- 3. NJD Ryane Clowe stopped
- 4. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
- 5. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
- 6. CBJ Cam Atkinson scored
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:56NJDEric Gelinas: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:37CBJJames Wisniewski: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:01NJDMark Fayne: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 16:01NJDJon Merrill: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:37NJDAndrei Loktionov: Holding2 min
- P3 0:40NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:03CBJMark Letestu: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:03CBJRyan Johansen: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:08CBJNick Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:08NJDMarek Zidlicky: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestLetestu – Tropp – Jenner8:02
xG 0.35–0.20 (64%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Anisimov – Atkinson10:16
xG 0.73–0.58 (55%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen10:48
xG 0.03–0.35 (8%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Skille5:28
xG 0.04–0.45 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Johnson15:23
xG 0.27–0.16 (63%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Murray12:45
xG 0.41–0.67 (38%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Nikitin – Savard13:16
xG 0.28–0.86 (24%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestElias – Bernier – Tedenby4:26
xG 0.61–0.06 (92%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Jagr – Zubrus – Zajac12:02
xG 0.54–0.23 (71%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Clowe – Gionta – Loktionov2:23
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Ryder – Clowe – Loktionov3:08
xG 0.06–0.15 (30%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVolchenkov – Zidlicky3:08
xG 0.59–0.09 (87%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Gelinas11:22
xG 0.66–0.35 (65%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Gelinas – Merrill3:18
xG 0.08–0.16 (33%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).