Thu, Jan 2, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Phoenix Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 06 | 115 | 110 | 231 |
| PHX | 06 | 07 | 021 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:51CBJNathan HortonPPGWGAssists: James Wisniewski, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P3 10:03CBJR.J. UmbergerPPAssists: Fedor Tyutin, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:58CBJCorey Tropp: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:52PHXKeith Yandle: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:52CBJDerek MacKenzie: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:05PHXTim Kennedy: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:04PHXDerek Morris: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:40CBJRyan Murray: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:08CBJRyan Johansen: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:55PHXMike Smith: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min · PPG
- P2 17:18CBJR.J. Umberger: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:40PHXDavid Rundblad: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 19:21CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestLetestu – Tropp – Jenner6:58
xG 0.30–0.09 (78%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Atkinson7:30
xG 0.38–0.21 (64%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen10:55
xG 0.39–0.31 (56%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Horton – Dubinsky – Anisimov8:21
xG 0.34–0.35 (49%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Murray13:23
xG 0.43–0.28 (61%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Johnson16:30
xG 0.50–0.50 (50%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Nikitin – Savard12:46
xG 0.53–0.83 (39%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRibeiro – Moss – Korpikoski2:55
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Vermette – Chipchura – Boedker3:21
xG 0.15–0.02 (88%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Klinkhammer2:45
xG 0.20–0.09 (69%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Ribeiro – Moss – Brown4:20
xG 0.06–0.07 (50%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMorris – Yandle15:59
xG 0.85–0.30 (74%)attempts 19–10goals 0–0
- Klesla – Rundblad11:19
xG 0.47–0.27 (63%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Yandle – Rundblad3:22
xG 0.20–0.02 (92%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).