Fri, Jan 3, 2014·Prudential Center, Newark
Chicago Blackhawks 5, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 111 | 47 | 524 |
| NJD | 08 | 110 | 29 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:34CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Jonathan Toews · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 2:17NJDAndy GreeneAssists: Stephen Gionta, Steve Bernier · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P3 1:30CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 2:44CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith · Snap, 0.04 xG3–1
- P3 5:34CHIMarian HossaGWGAssists: Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–1
- P3 7:09NJDMarek ZidlickyAssists: Andrei Loktionov, Reid Boucher · Snap, 0.11 xG4–2
- P3 13:37NJDMarek ZidlickyPPAssists: Eric Gelinas, Adam Henrique · Slap, 0.04 xG4–3
- P3 18:32CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:42NJDMark Fayne: Tripping2 min
- P1 3:39NJDMike Sislo: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 19:10CHIMarcus Kruger: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:25CHISheldon Brookbank: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 15:54CHIMarcus Kruger: Holding2 min
- P2 16:43NJDJaromir Jagr: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:04CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Hossa
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews10:38
xG 0.70–0.09 (89%)attempts 8–3goals 3–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig9:42
xG 0.05–0.26 (16%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Bickell – Versteeg – Shaw6:47
xG 0.16–0.49 (25%)attempts 3–13goals 0–1
- Handzus – Kane – Saad11:27
xG 0.36–0.87 (29%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson16:21
xG 0.72–0.32 (69%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook14:05
xG 0.86–0.77 (53%)attempts 13–10goals 3–0
- Brookbank – Leddy11:36
xG 0.04–0.63 (6%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestLoktionov – Sislo – Boucher7:56
xG 0.63–0.16 (79%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- Bernier – Gionta – Carter9:36
xG 0.66–0.22 (75%)attempts 9–5goals 1–1
- Jagr – Zubrus – Zajac12:43
xG 0.13–0.33 (28%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Ryder – Clowe – Henrique11:10
xG 0.22–0.75 (23%)attempts 5–14goals 0–4
Defence pairs
- bestZidlicky – Gelinas15:55
xG 0.65–0.34 (65%)attempts 15–7goals 1–1
- Salvador – Merrill13:03
xG 0.64–0.45 (59%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Fayne – Greene12:49
xG 0.42–0.39 (52%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).