Sun, Jan 5, 2014·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 3, Anaheim Ducks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 212 | 02 | 15 | 01 | 320 |
| ANA | 05 | 220 | 120 | 14 | 449 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:40VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 11:39VANTom SestitoPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Jason Garrison · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–0
- P2 0:24ANASaku KoivuAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Andrew Cogliano · Deflected, 0.17 xG2–1
- P2 16:38ANAMatt BeleskeyAssists: Kyle Palmieri · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 1:06VANKevin BieksaAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–2
- P3 18:33ANANick BoninoAssists: Daniel Winnik · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–3
- OT 4:58ANACorey PerryPPGWGAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:40ANACorey Perry: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:33ANAKyle Palmieri: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 17:44VANBrad Richardson: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:44ANAKyle Palmieri: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:41VANKevin Bieksa: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:43VANTom Sestito: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:43ANANick Bonino: Slashing2 min
- OT 3:54VANKevin Bieksa: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Sestito – Kassian5:08
xG 0.47–0.11 (81%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Santorelli14:00
xG 0.63–0.50 (56%)attempts 13–17goals 1–1
- Kesler – Sestito – Dalpe3:16
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
- Ferriero – Dalpe – Weise2:50
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeber – Garrison3:45
xG 0.41–0.15 (73%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Corrado6:28
xG 0.14–0.23 (37%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Weber2:16
xG 0.11–0.20 (34%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Penner15:19
xG 0.94–0.14 (87%)attempts 21–6goals 0–0
- Beleskey – Bonino – Palmieri3:36
xG 0.78–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Selanne – Bonino – Palmieri7:02
xG 0.18–0.12 (60%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Koivu – Cogliano – Silfverberg10:58
xG 0.53–0.50 (51%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestAllen – Vatanen12:36
xG 0.90–0.16 (85%)attempts 20–5goals 0–0
- Beauchemin – Lindholm19:23
xG 1.31–0.78 (63%)attempts 24–13goals 2–1
- Lovejoy – Fowler14:52
xG 0.93–0.40 (70%)attempts 23–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).