Thu, Jan 9, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Boston Bruins 2, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 05 | 17 | 110 | 222 |
| LAK | 113 | 214 | 18 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:32LAKJeff CarterAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P2 0:44LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Slava Voynov, Jonathan Quick · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 1:45LAKAlec MartinezGWGAssists: Robyn Regehr, Mike Richards · Slap, 0.03 xG0–3
- P2 9:55BOSMatt FraserAssists: Carl Soderberg, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.08 xG1–3
- P3 12:23LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jarret Stoll, Justin Williams · Snap, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 17:47BOSJustin FlorekAssists: Johnny Boychuk, Gregory Campbell · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:11BOSDaniel Paille: Kneeing2 min
- P1 12:40LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:23BOSDougie Hamilton: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:26BOSDougie Hamilton: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 16:08LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:08BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:27BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:44LAKSlava Voynov: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:33BOSCarl Soderberg: Interference2 min
- P3 12:53BOSJohnny Boychuk: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:29LAKMike Richards: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestSoderberg – Fraser – Spooner8:05
xG 0.72–0.26 (74%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Campbell – Paille – Florek6:36
xG 0.27–0.20 (58%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith9:30
xG 0.13–0.35 (27%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic11:46
xG 0.48–0.88 (35%)attempts 7–17goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Bartkowski13:30
xG 1.02–0.54 (65%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
- Chara – Hamilton11:47
xG 0.36–0.30 (54%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- McQuaid – Krug11:08
xG 0.50–0.47 (52%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Kopitar – King12:04
xG 0.64–0.50 (57%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Williams – Stoll – Brown9:48
xG 0.32–0.18 (64%)attempts 14–6goals 1–1
- Richards – Frattin – Toffoli7:59
xG 0.44–0.63 (42%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Fraser – Lewis – Clifford7:06
xG 0.22–0.44 (33%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty10:49
xG 0.31–0.25 (55%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov14:52
xG 0.46–0.42 (52%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
- Regehr – Martinez8:11
xG 0.35–0.36 (49%)attempts 13–5goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).