Fri, Jan 10, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Carolina Hurricanes 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 07 | 016 | 013 | 036 |
| CBJ | 29 | 08 | 17 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:00CBJBoone JennerGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 16:10CBJBrandon DubinskyAssists: Cam Atkinson, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P3 5:54CBJCam AtkinsonPPAssists: Mark Letestu, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–3
Penalties (5)
- P3 2:17CARTuomo Ruutu: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 8:43CBJNikita Nikitin: Interference2 min
- P3 9:40CBJArtem Anisimov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:51CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:51CARNathan Gerbe: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestDwyer – Gerbe – Staal14:23
xG 0.46–0.35 (57%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Ruutu – Semin – Skinner3:21
xG 0.06–0.06 (47%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Dvorak – Malhotra – Ruutu4:11
xG 0.04–0.10 (28%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Semin – Skinner – Lindholm9:24
xG 0.26–0.35 (43%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSekera – Faulk15:32
xG 0.78–0.46 (63%)attempts 22–11goals 0–1
- Hainsey – Bellemore11:01
xG 0.20–0.11 (65%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Liles – Harrison16:32
xG 0.30–0.52 (37%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Anisimov – Jenner15:19
xG 0.52–0.33 (61%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson12:38
xG 0.44–0.34 (56%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen13:33
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
- Craig – Letestu – Tropp4:40
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Johnson18:18
xG 0.70–0.33 (68%)attempts 17–10goals 1–0
- Wisniewski – Murray18:16
xG 0.40–0.44 (48%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
- Nikitin – Savard13:19
xG 0.34–0.39 (46%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CAR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CAR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).