Mon, Jan 13, 2014·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Phoenix Coyotes 1, Winnipeg Jets 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 90% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 17 | 06 | 06 | 119 |
| WPG | 212 | 113 | 213 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:16PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Shane Doan · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P1 12:52WPGOlli JokinenAssists: Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.36 xG1–1
- P1 18:00WPGEric O'DellGWGUnassisted · Snap, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 8:49WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
- P3 4:18WPGMichael FrolikAssists: Adam Pardy, Bryan Little · Snap, 0.04 xG1–4
- P3 9:34WPGDevin SetoguchiPPAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Toby Enstrom · Snap, 0.12 xG1–5
Penalties (18)
- P1 5:31PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P1 8:35PHXMike Ribeiro: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:27WPGMark Stuart: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- P1 14:23PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:20PHXKeith Yandle: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:17PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:17WPGAnthony Peluso: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:51PHXPaul Bissonnette: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:51WPGJacob Trouba: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:36WPGOlli Jokinen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:55PHXMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:55WPGBlake Wheeler: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:33PHXDerek Morris: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:33PHXDerek Morris: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 5:33WPGAndrew Ladd: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:07PHXMichael Stone: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:01PHXLauri Korpikoski: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:16PHXKeith Yandle: Abusive language2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- Vrbata – Korpikoski – Hanzal3:23
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Moss – Klinkhammer – Szwarz2:25
xG 0.06–0.09 (42%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Doan – Ribeiro – Moss2:13
xG 0.02–0.12 (17%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Vermette – Klinkhammer – Boedker6:01
xG 0.21–0.32 (39%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko2:29
xG 0.09–0.03 (71%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Klesla – Schlemko11:02
xG 0.34–0.39 (46%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson12:50
xG 0.14–0.69 (17%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestThorburn – Wheeler – Scheifele9:28
xG 0.65–0.10 (87%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Ladd – Little – Frolik7:35
xG 0.34–0.32 (51%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Peluso – O'Dell – Wright3:23
xG 0.09–0.08 (51%)attempts 1–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPardy – Ellerby5:47
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Enstrom – Bogosian8:58
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Stuart – Trouba8:18
xG 0.33–0.26 (56%)attempts 2–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 90% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).