Thu, Jan 16, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 0, Phoenix Coyotes 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 011 | 09 | 09 | 029 |
| PHX | 111 | 08 | 04 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:51PHXAntoine VermettePPGWGAssists: Keith Yandle, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
Penalties (20)
- P1 1:03VANKevin Bieksa: Interference2 min
- P1 3:56PHXKyle Chipchura: Interference2 min
- P1 7:30PHXMichael Stone: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:52VANJason Garrison: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 18:23PHXMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:03VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:03PHXLauri Korpikoski: Cross checking2 min
- P2 4:05PHXMartin Hanzal: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:13VANDale Weise: Boarding2 min
- P2 7:36VANZack Kassian: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 8:15VANDan Hamhuis: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:15PHXMike Ribeiro: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:12VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:20PHXMike Ribeiro: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:20VANKevin Bieksa: Diving2 min
- P3 8:27PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Diving2 min
- P3 8:27VANZack Kassian: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:57PHXDavid Schlemko: Interference2 min
- P3 13:10VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:55PHXMartin Hanzal: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Kesler6:07
xG 0.36–0.17 (68%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Higgins – Richardson – Hansen4:13
xG 0.16–0.01 (91%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Booth – Santorelli – Weise5:22
xG 0.11–0.13 (47%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Kassian2:23
xG 0.09–0.13 (41%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Edler10:52
xG 0.61–0.51 (55%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Tanev7:22
xG 0.04–0.02 (72%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Weber – Garrison5:37
xG 0.14–0.39 (27%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Hanzal – Kennedy5:11
xG 0.38–0.13 (74%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Halpern – Chipchura – Szwarz4:18
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker7:15
xG 0.15–0.41 (28%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Doan – Ribeiro – Moss8:34
xG 0.27–0.55 (33%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Schlemko8:38
xG 0.68–0.16 (81%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Morris – Yandle2:04
xG 0.01–0.04 (25%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Morris – Ekman-Larsson9:22
xG 0.31–0.53 (37%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).