Sat, Jan 18, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
New Jersey Devils 2, Phoenix Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 110 | 014 | 111 | 235 |
| PHX | 210 | 115 | 02 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:35PHXJordan SzwarzAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 13:13PHXJeff HalpernAssists: David Moss, Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 18:44NJDRyane ClowePPAssists: Michael Ryder, Eric Gelinas · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 14:22PHXMartin HanzalPPGWGAssists: Keith Yandle, Radim Vrbata · Backhand, 0.37 xG1–3
- P3 17:46NJDJaromir JagrAssists: Ryane Clowe, Andy Greene · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:15NJDJaromir Jagr: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:06NJDRyane Clowe: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:25PHXMikkel Boedker: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 14:00NJDMarek Zidlicky: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:49PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Elias won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Elias – Zubrus3:29
xG 0.69–0.03 (96%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Jagr – Zajac – Boucher9:30
xG 0.16–0.18 (47%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Ryder – Clowe – Henrique14:33
xG 0.33–0.45 (42%)attempts 21–13goals 0–0
- Elias – Zubrus – Bernier4:11
xG 0.03–0.21 (11%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Merrill2:04
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Fayne – Greene13:33
xG 0.48–0.30 (62%)attempts 19–9goals 0–0
- Gelinas – Merrill8:29
xG 0.18–0.18 (50%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Hanzal – Kennedy11:42
xG 0.43–0.08 (84%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Doan – Ribeiro – Moss9:33
xG 0.55–0.39 (58%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Halpern – Chipchura – Szwarz5:54
xG 0.07–0.18 (28%)attempts 2–13goals 1–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker11:30
xG 0.23–0.55 (29%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Ekman-Larsson2:24
xG 0.35–0.01 (97%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Michalek – Schlemko11:19
xG 0.59–0.49 (55%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson2:05
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).