Sat, Jan 18, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Calgary Flames 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGY | 011 | 111 | 18 | 03 | 1 | 233 |
| VAN | 09 | 19 | 110 | 05 | 2 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:37CGYMark GiordanoPPAssists: Lee Stempniak · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 3:50VANRyan KeslerAssists: Zack Kassian, Chris Higgins · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 4:01CGYMatt StajanAssists: Lance Bouma · Backhand, 0.03 xG2–1
- P3 11:48VANYannick WeberPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Ryan Kesler · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CGY Joe Colborne scored
- 2. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 3. CGY Jiri Hudler stopped
- 4. VAN Yannick Weber scored
- 5. CGY Lee Stempniak stopped
- 6. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 7. CGY Sean Monahan stopped
- 8. VAN Zack Kassian stopped
- 9. CGY Mikael Backlund stopped
- 10. VAN Chris Higgins scored
Penalties (39)
- P1 0:02CGYLadislav Smid: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02CGYBrian McGrattan: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02VANTom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02CGYBlair Jones: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02VANDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02CGYChris Butler: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02VANJason Garrison: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02VANKellan Lain: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02CGYKevin Westgarth: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:02CGYKevin Westgarth: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:02CGYKevin Westgarth: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02VANKellan Lain: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02CGYChris Butler: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02CGYBlair Jones: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02CGYBrian McGrattan: Misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02CGYLadislav Smid: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02VANDale Weise: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02VANTom Sestito: Misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02VANKevin Bieksa: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 0:02VANJason Garrison: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 4:26CGYMark Giordano: Hooking2 min
- P1 4:26CGYLance Bouma: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:26VANZack Kassian: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:26VANZack Kassian: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:02VANBrad Richardson: Holding2 min
- P1 11:27CGYLee Stempniak: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:27CGYShane O'Brien: Misconduct10 min
- P1 11:27VANZack Kassian: Misconduct10 min
- P1 11:27VANAlexandre Burrows: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 11:27VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:32VANRyan Kesler: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:00CGYMatt Stajan: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00VANBrad Richardson: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:05VANYannick Weber: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:54CGYMark Giordano: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:44CGYMark Giordano: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 16:41CGYMark Giordano: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 16:41VANZack Kassian: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bieksa won the faceoff against Westgarth
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Calgary Flames
Forward lines
- bestStajan – Galiardi – Bouma6:59
xG 0.37–0.08 (82%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Stajan – Hudler – Stempniak2:37
xG 0.20–0.06 (76%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Byron – Colborne – Monahan7:26
xG 0.10–0.16 (39%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Hudler – Stempniak – Backlund10:42
xG 0.24–0.53 (32%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWideman – Brodie7:27
xG 0.46–0.24 (66%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Giordano – Brodie16:07
xG 0.54–0.33 (62%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- O'Brien – Giordano2:12
xG 0.17–0.14 (55%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Burrows – Kesler2:57
xG 0.30–0.05 (87%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Booth – Hansen – Kassian2:11
xG 0.16–0.01 (91%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Kassian5:55
xG 0.32–0.19 (63%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows5:36
xG 0.20–0.12 (63%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hamhuis – Weber2:04
xG 0.19–0.15 (55%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Tanev20:30
xG 0.77–0.79 (49%)attempts 17–22goals 1–1
- Edler – Weber20:28
xG 0.73–0.79 (48%)attempts 23–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CGY. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CGY), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).