Sun, Jan 19, 2014·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 112 | 19 | 014 | 01 | 1 | 236 |
| CHI | 115 | 112 | 07 | 03 | 2 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:13CHIMarian HossaAssists: Patrick Sharp, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P1 19:41BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Adam McQuaid · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 0:50BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Reilly Smith, Johnny Boychuk · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 9:44CHIBrandon BolligAssists: Marcus Kruger, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. BOS Ryan Spooner stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 5. BOS Brad Marchand scored
- 6. CHI Patrick Kane scored
Penalties (6)
- P2 5:50CHIJonathan Toews: Misconduct10 min
- P2 11:32CHIBrandon Saad: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:07BOSMatt Bartkowski: Holding2 min
- P3 1:24CHIBrent Seabrook: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:58CHIJohnny Oduya: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:55BOSMatt Bartkowski: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith12:41
xG 0.57–0.33 (63%)attempts 12–10goals 2–1
- Eriksson – Soderberg – Spooner9:20
xG 0.29–0.19 (61%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille5:42
xG 0.03–0.26 (10%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic15:28
xG 0.19–0.88 (17%)attempts 12–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBartkowski – Miller2:29
xG 0.15–0.02 (88%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk11:58
xG 0.48–0.46 (51%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Chara – McQuaid2:42
xG 0.09–0.09 (51%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews11:42
xG 0.75–0.50 (60%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Kane – Shaw – Saad9:11
xG 0.27–0.10 (74%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Handzus – Bickell – Versteeg6:15
xG 0.19–0.05 (80%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig10:32
xG 0.31–0.29 (52%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson18:55
xG 0.71–0.18 (80%)attempts 21–10goals 0–1
- Keith – Seabrook17:00
xG 0.95–0.57 (62%)attempts 17–20goals 2–1
- Brookbank – Leddy11:13
xG 0.13–0.36 (27%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).