Tue, Jan 21, 2014·Prudential Center, Newark
St. Louis Blues 1, New Jersey Devils 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 16 | 07 | 014 | 127 |
| NJD | 313 | 26 | 24 | 723 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:27NJDMark FayneAssists: Damien Brunner, Patrik Elias · Snap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 2:51NJDRyan CarterGWGAssists: Stephen Gionta, Eric Gelinas · Backhand, 0.22 xG0–2
- P1 8:47STLAlexander SteenAssists: Jaden Schwartz, David Backes · Snap, 0.07 xG1–2
- P1 10:27NJDJaromir JagrAssists: Reid Boucher, Travis Zajac · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–3
- P2 1:03NJDRyane ClowePPAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Damien Brunner · Snap, 0.16 xG1–4
- P2 15:42NJDAdam HenriquePPAssists: Eric Gelinas, Marek Zidlicky · Snap, 0.20 xG1–5
- P3 1:18NJDDamien BrunnerPPAssists: Patrik Elias, Travis Zajac · Slap, 0.14 xG1–6
- P3 12:04NJDEric GelinasAssists: Anton Volchenkov · Slap, 0.01 xG1–7
Penalties (7)
- P1 15:28STLVladimir Sobotka: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:21STLAlexander Steen: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:59NJDAnton Volchenkov: Interference2 min
- P2 14:55STLBarret Jackman: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 19:57STLAlexander Steen: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:40NJDStephen Gionta: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:30NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Henrique won the faceoff against Backes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Backes – Schwartz10:45
xG 0.27–0.06 (83%)attempts 10–4goals 1–1
- Roy – Stewart – Paajarvi5:19
xG 0.23–0.07 (78%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Oshie – Sobotka – Paajarvi2:19
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Morrow – Cracknell – Reaves5:35
xG 0.15–0.33 (32%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJackman – Polak5:10
xG 0.25–0.09 (75%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Leopold – Shattenkirk5:12
xG 0.16–0.03 (84%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo15:34
xG 0.23–0.25 (47%)attempts 8–6goals 0–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBernier – Gionta – Carter8:53
xG 0.59–0.18 (77%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Jagr – Zajac – Boucher11:02
xG 0.66–0.30 (69%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Ryder – Clowe – Henrique8:59
xG 0.31–0.23 (57%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Elias – Zubrus – Brunner7:10
xG 0.12–0.19 (39%)attempts 4–6goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSalvador – Zidlicky15:49
xG 1.16–0.35 (77%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Volchenkov – Gelinas9:35
xG 0.64–0.09 (88%)attempts 8–3goals 2–0
- Zidlicky – Gelinas2:23
xG 0.01–0.16 (7%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).