Tue, Jan 21, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Los Angeles Kings 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 111 | 18 | 110 | 329 |
| CBJ | 212 | 212 | 110 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:42LAKDwight KingAssists: Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 12:47CBJR.J. UmbergerPPAssists: James Wisniewski, Jack Johnson · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 19:02CBJRyan JohansenAssists: Ryan Murray, James Wisniewski · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–2
- P2 8:39LAKJeff CarterAssists: Mike Richards · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–2
- P2 18:15CBJR.J. UmbergerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–3
- P2 19:44CBJNathan HortonGWGAssists: Artem Anisimov, Boone Jenner · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–4
- P3 15:19CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–5
- P3 16:50LAKRobyn RegehrAssists: Justin Williams, Mike Richards · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:11CBJMatt Calvert: Cross checking2 min
- P1 3:55CBJRyan Johansen: Cross checking2 min
- P1 12:32LAKJake Muzzin: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:27CBJArtem Anisimov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 3:47LAKWillie Mitchell: Interference2 min
- P3 0:22LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Richards – Frattin10:23
xG 0.56–0.42 (57%)attempts 15–9goals 1–1
- Vey – Nolan – Pearson5:16
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Williams – Kopitar – Pearson3:28
xG 0.05–0.04 (56%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Stoll – Lewis – King10:06
xG 0.11–0.24 (32%)attempts 3–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty17:15
xG 0.23–0.06 (80%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Mitchell – Voynov12:33
xG 0.55–0.67 (45%)attempts 13–10goals 2–2
- Mitchell – Doughty2:28
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Foligno – Johansen9:37
xG 0.66–0.15 (81%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Horton – Anisimov – Jenner10:33
xG 0.37–0.14 (73%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- MacKenzie – Letestu – Tropp5:52
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson10:27
xG 0.28–0.44 (38%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Murray15:22
xG 0.78–0.11 (88%)attempts 13–7goals 2–0
- Tyutin – Johnson15:40
xG 0.71–0.46 (61%)attempts 16–15goals 2–1
- Nikitin – Savard14:11
xG 0.11–0.35 (23%)attempts 8–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).