Sun, Jan 26, 2014·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 02 | 04 | 315 | 321 |
| CHI | 118 | 09 | 08 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:21CHIBrandon BolligAssists: Ben Smith, Marcus Kruger · Wrap-around, 0.06 xG0–1
- P3 8:16WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Evander Kane, Mark Stuart · Snap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 12:53WPGAndrew LaddGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 18:45WPGBlake WheelerENAssists: Toby Enstrom · Wrist, 0.62 xG3–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:22WPGChris Thorburn: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:21CHIKris Versteeg: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 19:51WPGMark Stuart: Boarding2 min
- P2 11:02CHIPatrick Sharp: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:02WPGJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:46WPGToby Enstrom: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Wheeler – Kane – Scheifele11:38
xG 0.24–0.50 (33%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
- Thorburn – Peluso – O'Dell2:18
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Ladd – Little – Frolik13:16
xG 0.66–1.01 (40%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPardy – Ellerby8:47
xG 0.30–0.19 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Enstrom – Bogosian12:39
xG 0.41–0.61 (40%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Stuart – Trouba8:23
xG 0.19–1.05 (16%)attempts 6–17goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews11:42
xG 1.13–0.57 (67%)attempts 15–13goals 0–1
- Kane – Shaw – Saad11:52
xG 0.56–0.29 (66%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig9:08
xG 0.26–0.22 (54%)attempts 9–9goals 1–1
- Sharp – Toews – Kane2:10
xG 0.05–0.10 (34%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook12:46
xG 1.23–0.71 (63%)attempts 19–17goals 0–1
- Brookbank – Leddy11:19
xG 0.48–0.21 (69%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson13:04
xG 0.29–0.23 (56%)attempts 6–9goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).