Tue, Jan 28, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 0, Phoenix Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 013 | 08 | 09 | 030 |
| PHX | 111 | 112 | 16 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:57PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonGWGAssists: Antoine Vermette · Snap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 3:16PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Shane Doan, Mikkel Boedker · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P3 8:47PHXAntoine VermetteAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:28PHXKeith Yandle: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:04LAKJordan Nolan: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 3:04LAKJordan Nolan: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:04PHXPaul Bissonnette: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:04PHXPaul Bissonnette: Misconduct10 min
- P2 6:56LAKMatt Greene: Interference2 min
- P2 12:10LAKRobyn Regehr: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:39PHXMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Ribeiro
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFraser – Nolan – Toffoli6:57
xG 0.59–0.25 (70%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Carter – Kopitar – King12:23
xG 0.60–0.36 (63%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- Stoll – Lewis – Clifford9:55
xG 0.30–0.22 (57%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Richards9:17
xG 0.11–0.25 (31%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Voynov14:23
xG 0.93–0.54 (63%)attempts 17–11goals 0–1
- Greene – Muzzin2:03
xG 0.11–0.07 (61%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty3:06
xG 0.07–0.05 (56%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Korpikoski – Boedker10:06
xG 0.67–0.26 (72%)attempts 7–8goals 2–0
- Halpern – Bissonnette – Chipchura4:45
xG 0.62–0.52 (54%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Ribeiro – Moss – Klinkhammer9:24
xG 0.33–0.30 (53%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Doan – Vrbata – Hanzal12:53
xG 0.28–0.51 (36%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Murphy13:35
xG 1.30–0.28 (82%)attempts 18–12goals 1–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson17:20
xG 0.29–0.59 (33%)attempts 21–15goals 1–0
- Morris – Yandle17:02
xG 0.61–0.95 (39%)attempts 11–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).