Sat, Feb 1, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 1, San Jose Sharks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 08 | 013 | 18 | 01 | 1 | 130 |
| SJS | 011 | 011 | 114 | 03 | 3 | 239 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 6:10SJSJoe PavelskiSHAssists: Scott Hannan · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P3 7:13CHIBrandon SaadPPAssists: Kris Versteeg, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.12 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. SJS Patrick Marleau scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 5. SJS Joe Thornton scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:39SJSPatrick Marleau: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:31CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:31SJSMike Brown: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:39CHIPatrick Kane: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 15:13SJSJustin Braun: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:08CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:43SJSBrad Stuart: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:32CHIPatrick Sharp: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Kruger – Bollig7:41
xG 0.79–0.02 (98%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Handzus – Shaw – Saad6:32
xG 0.17–0.13 (56%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Versteeg – Kane – Pirri8:44
xG 0.27–0.26 (50%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews12:12
xG 0.20–0.53 (27%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook12:34
xG 0.83–0.35 (70%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson15:14
xG 0.94–0.46 (67%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Leddy10:48
xG 0.42–0.38 (53%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Havlat – Kearns – Hayes2:22
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Havlat – Kearns – Sheppard5:38
xG 0.14–0.22 (39%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Desjardins – Hayes2:36
xG 0.02–0.12 (12%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Marleau – Pavelski – Wingels10:22
xG 0.41–0.92 (31%)attempts 6–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Braun – Irwin6:37
xG 0.09–0.14 (40%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Boyle – Vlasic7:32
xG 0.12–0.23 (34%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Hannan – Stuart10:29
xG 0.38–1.32 (22%)attempts 3–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).