Mon, Feb 3, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 5, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 212 | 17 | 211 | 530 |
| LAK | 15 | 115 | 114 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:02CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 8:44CHIBryan BickellAssists: Patrick Kane, Andrew Shaw · Slap, 0.07 xG2–0
- P1 9:52LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Slava Voynov, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 6:30LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Jeff Carter, Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 13:51CHIMarcus KrugerAssists: Nick Leddy, Ben Smith · Tip-in, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 7:01CHINick LeddyGWGAssists: Marian Hossa, Kris Versteeg · Slap, 0.05 xG4–2
- P3 11:09CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Patrick Sharp, Jonathan Toews · Tip-in, 0.11 xG5–2
- P3 11:42LAKTyler ToffoliAssists: Jeff Carter, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:24LAKDrew Doughty: Charging2 min · PPG
- P1 2:31LAKColin Fraser: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 3:26CHIPatrick Sharp: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 9:01CHIAndrew Shaw: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 15:14LAKSlava Voynov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:50LAKDustin Brown: Interference2 min
- P2 4:23CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:54CHIMarian Hossa: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:53LAKMatt Greene: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Shaw – Saad7:37
xG 0.31–0.11 (73%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews10:55
xG 0.31–0.31 (50%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig7:58
xG 0.08–0.25 (24%)attempts 3–8goals 1–0
- Versteeg – Kane – Pirri8:06
xG 0.44–0.92 (32%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson11:08
xG 0.26–0.24 (52%)attempts 6–7goals 1–1
- Rozsival – Leddy10:52
xG 0.64–0.68 (48%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Keith – Hjalmarsson2:57
xG 0.07–0.28 (21%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestStoll – Lewis – King9:27
xG 0.94–0.55 (63%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Richards10:29
xG 0.61–0.29 (68%)attempts 17–6goals 0–1
- Fraser – Frattin – Clifford5:25
xG 0.18–0.09 (68%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Carter – Kopitar – Toffoli10:06
xG 0.30–0.42 (42%)attempts 6–10goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Muzzin7:42
xG 0.52–0.02 (95%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Greene2:18
xG 0.67–0.32 (67%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
- Regehr – Doughty2:41
xG 0.35–0.19 (65%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).