Thu, Feb 6, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 110 | 010 | 05 | 00 | 125 |
| LAK | 02 | 011 | 15 | 12 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:40CBJJack JohnsonPPAssists: Ryan Johansen, James Wisniewski · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P3 3:09LAKJake MuzzinAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–1
- OT 2:33LAKRobyn RegehrGWGAssists: Mike Richards, Jeff Carter · Slap, 0.02 xG1–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 1:04LAKTyler Toffoli: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:29LAKMatt Frattin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:10CBJDavid Savard: Holding2 min
- P1 19:32LAKJustin Williams: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 3:30CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 5:16LAKDustin Brown: Charging2 min
- P2 9:21CBJR.J. Umberger: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:40CBJFedor Tyutin: Interference2 min
- P3 2:25CBJNikita Nikitin: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:40LAKSlava Voynov: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:00CBJRyan Johansen: Interference2 min
- P3 11:42LAKTyler Toffoli: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson9:44
xG 0.46–0.08 (85%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Letestu – Tropp5:13
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Anisimov7:17
xG 0.06–0.16 (28%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Horton – Johansen – Jenner10:09
xG 0.28–0.49 (36%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Johnson12:19
xG 0.78–0.09 (89%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Murray8:45
xG 0.20–0.05 (81%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Wisniewski2:05
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFrattin – Clifford – Nolan2:22
xG 0.34–0.04 (91%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Williams – Brown – Richards7:39
xG 0.34–0.11 (76%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Stoll – King – Nolan3:47
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Stoll – Lewis – King2:48
xG 0.02–0.07 (23%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Doughty11:57
xG 0.82–0.38 (68%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov2:11
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Regehr – Voynov10:59
xG 0.08–0.25 (25%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).