Thu, Feb 27, 2014·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 18 | 03 | 219 |
| NJD | 313 | 113 | 19 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:09NJDRyane CloweAssists: Andrei Loktionov · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 7:31NJDJaromir JagrPPAssists: Eric Gelinas, Patrik Elias · Wrist, 0.38 xG0–2
- P1 8:54NJDAdam HenriquePPGWGAssists: Andy Greene, Jon Merrill · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–3
- P1 11:36CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
- P2 11:42CBJMarian GaborikAssists: Artem Anisimov, Nick Foligno · Snap, 0.14 xG2–3
- P2 19:41NJDAdam HenriqueSHAssists: Patrik Elias · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–4
- P3 19:24NJDPatrik EliasENUnassisted · Backhand, 0.65 xG2–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:54CBJJames Wisniewski: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 8:08CBJRyan Johansen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 9:33NJDJaromir Jagr: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:05NJDMarek Zidlicky: Tripping2 min
- P1 0:00NJDBryce Salvador: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00CBJDerek MacKenzie: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00CBJDerek MacKenzie: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:26NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:00CBJMatt Calvert: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00CBJMatt Calvert: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 0:00NJDRyan Carter: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gionta won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Foligno – Anisimov3:13
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Umberger – Horton – Johansen2:38
xG 0.21–0.19 (52%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Horton – Dubinsky – Jenner2:06
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson4:55
xG 0.03–0.01 (65%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWisniewski – Johnson10:38
xG 0.50–0.35 (59%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Nikitin – Prout9:20
xG 0.30–0.31 (49%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Savard – Murray10:54
xG 0.14–0.27 (35%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestRyder – Clowe – Loktionov9:13
xG 0.44–0.33 (58%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Elias – Bernier – Henrique2:41
xG 0.13–0.09 (58%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Elias – Zubrus – Henrique2:19
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Jagr – Zubrus – Zajac12:08
xG 0.18–0.26 (40%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene11:49
xG 0.68–0.28 (71%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Merrill3:43
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Greene4:16
xG 0.16–0.06 (74%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).