Thu, Feb 27, 2014·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Phoenix Coyotes 2, Winnipeg Jets 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 111 | 07 | 113 | 05 | 1 | 236 |
| WPG | 19 | 110 | 09 | 01 | 2 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:17PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: Radim Vrbata, Rob Klinkhammer · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 14:55WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Dustin Byfuglien · Backhand, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 18:01WPGBryan LittlePPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–2
- P3 6:40PHXMartin HanzalPPAssists: David Schlemko, Mike Ribeiro · Backhand, 0.42 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. WPG Bryan Little stopped
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 3. WPG Andrew Ladd stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. WPG Devin Setoguchi scored
- 6. PHX Antoine Vermette scored
- 7. WPG Olli Jokinen scored
- 8. PHX Mike Ribeiro stopped
Penalties (15)
- P1 1:18WPGZach Bogosian: Roughing2 min
- P1 1:18WPGZach Bogosian: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:18PHXRob Klinkhammer: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:27PHXZbynek Michalek: Interference2 min
- P1 8:32WPGAndrew Ladd: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:35WPGJames Wright: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:35PHXDerek Morris: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:46WPGMark Scheifele: Throwing equipment2 min
- P2 4:59PHXShane Doan: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:18WPGEvander Kane: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:18PHXKeith Yandle: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:24PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 0:00PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:08WPGJim Slater: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:48WPGChris Thorburn: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVrbata – Hanzal – Klinkhammer8:10
xG 0.51–0.12 (81%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Halpern – Moss – Chipchura5:30
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Doan – Ribeiro – McMillan8:13
xG 0.39–0.59 (40%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker9:53
xG 0.32–0.84 (27%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Schlemko2:56
xG 0.18–0.04 (81%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson11:41
xG 0.58–0.46 (56%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Schlemko – Stone6:59
xG 0.04–0.01 (83%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Kane – Scheifele10:49
xG 0.74–0.15 (83%)attempts 14–5goals 0–1
- Thorburn – Slater – Wright4:05
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Frolik – Kane – Scheifele2:00
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Ladd – Little – Frolik11:05
xG 0.21–0.28 (42%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStuart – Trouba11:36
xG 0.60–0.34 (64%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Pardy – Ellerby5:11
xG 0.16–0.08 (68%)attempts 3–1goals 0–1
- Enstrom – Bogosian8:56
xG 0.39–0.59 (40%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).