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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 28, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

San Jose Sharks 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.

BUF winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Havlat, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:56Shot by Kennedy, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 3:11Shot by Vlasic, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 3:28Shot by Foligno, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 4:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Niemi
  7. P1 4:41Shot by Moulson, saved by Niemi
  8. P1 5:54Shot by Kennedy, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 9:03Shot by Kennedy, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 9:20Kennedy: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, McBain, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · SJS Burish, Kennedy, Braun, Wingels, Irwin

  11. P1 9:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Niemi5v4
  12. P1 10:59Goal by Hodgson (Myers, Ehrhoff)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers · SJS Hannan, Burish, Vlasic, Desjardins

  13. P1 12:09Shot by Couture, saved by Enroth
  14. P1 12:49Shot by Ellis, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 13:16Shot by Desjardins, saved by Enroth
  16. P1 13:20Shot by Irwin, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 13:29Shot by Brown, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 13:32Shot by Brown, saved by Enroth
  19. P1 13:55Shot by Boyle, saved by Enroth
  20. P1 15:36Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, McBain, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · SJS Burish, Kennedy, Vlasic, Braun, Wingels

  21. P1 16:07Shot by Boyle, saved by Enroth4v5
  22. P1 16:57Shot by Burns, saved by Enroth4v5
  23. P1 18:25Shot by Stafford, saved by Niemi
  24. P1 19:23Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Niemi
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:38Shot by Couture, saved by Enroth
  28. P2 1:43Shot by Stafford, saved by Niemi
  29. P2 2:44Shot by Hannan, saved by Enroth
  30. P2 4:44Shot by Burns, saved by Enroth
  31. P2 4:45Shot by Burns, saved by Enroth
  32. P2 4:48Shot by Pavelski, saved by Enroth
  33. P2 5:36Shot by Wingels, saved by Enroth
  34. P2 6:46Shot by Sheppard, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 7:21Shot by Marleau, saved by Enroth
  36. P2 8:06Shot by Myers, saved by Niemi
  37. P2 8:57Shot by Irwin, saved by Enroth
  38. P2 9:28Shot by Vlasic, saved by Enroth
  39. P2 9:38Goal by Sheppard (Vlasic, Boyle)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Moulson, Stafford, Leino · SJS Boyle, Burish, Kennedy, Vlasic, Sheppard

  40. P2 9:54Shot by Wingels, saved by Enroth
  41. P2 10:46Shot by Marleau, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 10:55Shot by Couture, saved by Enroth
  43. P2 14:59Shot by Brown, saved by Enroth
  44. P2 15:39Sulzer: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · SJS Boyle, Burish, Kennedy, Wingels, Irwin

  45. P2 16:08Shot by Thornton, saved by Enroth4v5
  46. P2 16:53Shot by Girgensons, saved by Niemi4v5
  47. P2 17:38Shot by Havlat, saved by Enroth4v5
  48. P2 18:30Shot by Hodgson, saved by Niemi
  49. P2 19:22Shot by Havlat, saved by Enroth
  50. P2 19:57Shot by Foligno, saved by Niemi
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:52Shot by Kennedy, saved by Enroth
  54. P3 4:30Shot by Hodgson, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 4:33Goal by Flynn (Girgensons)+29 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Weber, Myers, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · SJS Boyle, Burish, Kennedy, Wingels, Irwin

  56. P3 5:06Shot by Brown, saved by Enroth
  57. P3 6:44Shot by Wingels, saved by Enroth
  58. P3 7:39Goal by Moulson (Myers, Weber)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Weber, Leino, Myers · SJS Boyle, Burish, Kennedy, Wingels, Irwin

  59. P3 8:21Desjardins: Kneeing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Sulzer, D'Agostini, Hodgson, Girgensons · SJS Havlat, Vlasic, Sheppard, Braun, Couture

  60. P3 9:12Shot by Hodgson, saved by Niemi5v4
  61. P3 9:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by Niemi5v4
  62. P3 10:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 12:18Shot by Thornton, saved by Enroth
  64. P3 14:22Shot by Burns, saved by Enroth
  65. P3 18:18Shot by Marleau, saved by Enroth5v6
  66. P3 18:45Goal by Marleau (Thornton, Boyle)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Sulzer, Stafford, Leino · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Burns, Pavelski, Couture

  67. P3 19:39Goal by Myers (D'Agostini)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, D'Agostini, Weber, Hodgson, Myers · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Boyle, Burns, Pavelski, Couture

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final