Fri, Feb 28, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Minnesota Wild 2, Vancouver Canucks 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 113 | 06 | 03 | 01 | 1 | 223 |
| VAN | 110 | 011 | 09 | 01 | 0 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:19VANRyan KeslerSHAssists: Chris Higgins · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P1 14:12MINZach ParisePPAssists: Jason Pominville, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. MIN Zach Parise stopped
- 2. VAN Zack Kassian stopped
- 3. MIN Charlie Coyle stopped
- 4. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 5. MIN Jason Pominville stopped
- 6. VAN Chris Higgins stopped
- 7. MIN Mikael Granlund stopped
- 8. VAN Jordan Schroeder stopped
- 9. MIN Nino Niederreiter stopped
- 10. VAN Raphael Diaz stopped
- 11. MIN Dany Heatley stopped
- 12. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 13. MIN Justin Fontaine scored
- 14. VAN David Booth stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:43VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:27VANJannik Hansen: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 15:12VANRyan Kesler: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:11MINJared Spurgeon: Cross checking2 min
- OT 1:27MINZach Parise: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestVeilleux – Mitchell – Haula4:41
xG 0.10–0.03 (78%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Cooke – Brodziak – Fontaine9:20
xG 0.13–0.16 (46%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Cooke – Brodziak – Mitchell2:13
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Heatley – Coyle – Niederreiter9:43
xG 0.33–0.43 (44%)attempts 8–18goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Prosser – Brodin13:23
xG 0.12–0.20 (38%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Suter – Brodin5:03
xG 0.07–0.17 (28%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Suter – Spurgeon19:08
xG 0.53–0.74 (42%)attempts 15–22goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Burrows11:28
xG 0.53–0.13 (80%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Hansen12:06
xG 0.40–0.16 (72%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Richardson – Booth – Kassian11:52
xG 0.26–0.19 (58%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Stanton11:13
xG 0.44–0.19 (70%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev11:30
xG 0.34–0.10 (78%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Tanev2:03
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).