Sun, Mar 2, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 6, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 212 | 312 | 633 |
| NYR | 120 | 114 | 18 | 342 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:20NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Derek Stepan · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 18:07BOSJarome IginlaAssists: David Krejci, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 4:04BOSDougie HamiltonAssists: Milan Lucic, Jarome Iginla · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 9:34BOSCarl SoderbergAssists: Loui Eriksson, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–1
- P2 16:53NYRBrad RichardsAssists: Ryan Callahan, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 9:04BOSGregory CampbellSHGWGAssists: Loui Eriksson, Johnny Boychuk · Backhand, 0.15 xG4–2
- P3 13:26BOSGregory CampbellAssists: Daniel Paille · Tip-in, 0.15 xG5–2
- P3 15:18NYRRyan McDonaghPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Derek Stepan · Backhand, 0.06 xG5–3
- P3 18:24BOSMilan LucicAssists: Matt Bartkowski, David Krejci · Tip-in, 0.10 xG6–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:54BOSJohnny Boychuk: Interference2 min
- P2 5:44BOSChris Kelly: Interference2 min
- P2 19:32BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:32NYRRyan McDonagh: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:02BOSDougie Hamilton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:13BOSKevan Miller: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 15:13NYRDaniel Carcillo: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:13BOSTorey Krug: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richards won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestIginla – Krejci – Lucic13:39
xG 1.06–0.71 (60%)attempts 19–14goals 3–1
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille7:24
xG 0.23–0.42 (36%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg11:17
xG 0.51–0.87 (37%)attempts 12–16goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith12:09
xG 0.25–0.74 (25%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Boychuk – Bartkowski16:43
xG 0.77–0.73 (52%)attempts 22–16goals 2–0
- Chara – Miller3:19
xG 0.05–0.11 (32%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Chara – Hamilton15:16
xG 0.74–0.98 (43%)attempts 15–22goals 2–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestMoore – Boyle – Carcillo9:57
xG 0.51–0.10 (83%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Nash – Stepan – Kreider11:05
xG 0.75–0.59 (56%)attempts 12–13goals 0–1
- Richards – Callahan – Hagelin12:31
xG 0.54–0.57 (49%)attempts 15–14goals 0–3
- Pouliot – Brassard – Miller11:28
xG 0.79–0.94 (46%)attempts 13–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKlein – Staal12:12
xG 0.85–0.44 (66%)attempts 13–15goals 0–1
- Stralman – Moore7:49
xG 0.53–0.15 (77%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Stralman – McDonagh2:42
xG 0.12–0.12 (49%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).