Thu, Mar 13, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 111 | 07 | 28 | 01 | 1 | 427 |
| CBJ | 19 | 116 | 111 | 02 | 0 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:28CBJRyan JohansenAssists: Boone Jenner, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 10:53SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Logan Couture · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 3:05CBJR.J. UmbergerSHAssists: Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–2
- P3 0:15SJSMatt NietoAssists: Logan Couture, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.36 xG2–2
- P3 5:56SJSPatrick MarleauPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–2
- P3 15:02CBJJames WisniewskiAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Matt Calvert · Slap, 0.04 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Mark Letestu stopped
- 2. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 3. CBJ Ryan Johansen stopped
- 4. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 5. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
Penalties (6)
- P2 0:57CBJR.J. Umberger: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:22CBJDavid Savard: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:10SJSMike Brown: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:39CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 6:53SJSJoe Thornton: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:31SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Nieto13:36
xG 0.84–0.52 (62%)attempts 13–18goals 2–1
- Burish – Brown – Desjardins4:50
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–1
- Havlat – Sheppard – Wingels11:53
xG 0.13–0.35 (28%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Demers8:51
xG 0.46–0.17 (73%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Hannan – Braun8:04
xG 0.28–0.29 (49%)attempts 5–11goals 1–1
- Boyle – Irwin13:32
xG 0.12–0.40 (24%)attempts 6–17goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Johansen – Jenner13:38
xG 0.62–0.35 (64%)attempts 15–13goals 1–0
- Umberger – Letestu – Atkinson10:55
xG 0.29–0.25 (54%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Tropp – Frattin5:17
xG 0.03–0.01 (80%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Horton – Dubinsky – Calvert12:23
xG 0.65–0.82 (44%)attempts 20–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Savard5:18
xG 0.27–0.04 (88%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Nikitin18:37
xG 0.86–0.67 (56%)attempts 29–14goals 2–0
- Schultz – Prout5:39
xG 0.21–0.04 (82%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).