Sat, Mar 15, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 17 | 18 | 05 | 220 |
| LAK | 013 | 116 | 09 | 138 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:01ANATim JackmanAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Matt Beleskey · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P2 11:21LAKTyler ToffoliPPAssists: Jarret Stoll, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.31 xG1–1
- P2 12:12ANAPatrick MaroonGWGAssists: Kyle Palmieri, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:20ANATim Jackman: Interference2 min
- P1 9:06LAKJarret Stoll: Interference2 min
- P1 13:42ANAHampus Lindholm: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:03LAKRobyn Regehr: High sticking2 min
- P1 0:00LAKTanner Pearson: Interference2 min
- P1 0:00ANABryan Allen: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:59ANABen Lovejoy: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:27LAKDwight King: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Richards
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestJackman – Beleskey – Perreault5:10
xG 0.64–0.16 (81%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Koivu – Winnik – Cogliano12:25
xG 0.60–0.28 (68%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Beleskey2:28
xG 0.00–0.20 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Silfverberg10:36
xG 0.31–0.53 (37%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBeauchemin – Sbisa16:23
xG 0.92–0.49 (65%)attempts 13–15goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Lindholm12:44
xG 0.34–0.46 (43%)attempts 8–15goals 1–0
- Allen – Fistric11:37
xG 0.71–1.05 (40%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Richards – Lewis2:33
xG 0.49–0.23 (69%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – King5:25
xG 0.44–0.25 (64%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Stoll – Toffoli – Pearson8:42
xG 0.37–0.36 (50%)attempts 13–4goals 0–1
- Lewis – Clifford – Nolan4:42
xG 0.16–0.25 (39%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Martinez12:35
xG 1.14–0.29 (80%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty2:20
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Regehr – Voynov11:21
xG 0.50–0.46 (52%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).