Sun, Mar 16, 2014·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Vancouver Canucks 4, Florida Panthers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 211 | 07 | 112 | 02 | 1 | 432 |
| FLA | 19 | 08 | 29 | 03 | 0 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:28FLAJimmy HayesPPAssists: Tom Gilbert, Brandon Pirri · Snap, 0.22 xG0–1
- P1 17:42VANDan HamhuisAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P1 18:35VANNicklas JensenAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 4:19FLAVincent TrocheckAssists: Quinton Howden · Wrap-around, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 5:34VANAlexandre BurrowsPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Kevin Bieksa · Wrist, 0.30 xG3–2
- P3 18:25FLAJimmy HayesPPAssists: Brian Campbell, Brandon Pirri · Wrist, 0.39 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. VAN Zac Dalpe stopped
- 2. FLA Nick Bjugstad stopped
- 3. VAN Nicklas Jensen scored
- 4. FLA Brad Boyes stopped
- 5. VAN Chris Higgins stopped
- 6. FLA Brandon Pirri stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:03FLAKrys Barch: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:03VANTom Sestito: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:00FLABrad Boyes: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:33VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference2 min
- P1 14:44VANChris Higgins: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 6:36FLAScottie Upshall: Interference2 min
- P2 11:16VANChris Higgins: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:22FLAScottie Upshall: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 13:17FLABrad Boyes: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 18:09VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Hansen – Matthias12:26
xG 0.69–0.31 (69%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- Higgins – Matthias – Kassian2:42
xG 0.14–0.07 (68%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Burrows – Jensen9:35
xG 0.25–0.20 (55%)attempts 10–9goals 2–0
- Booth – Schroeder – Kassian11:51
xG 0.29–0.25 (53%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Tanev15:11
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Bieksa – Edler14:20
xG 0.42–0.38 (52%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Garrison – Stanton10:30
xG 0.49–0.57 (46%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestBoyes – Upshall – Bjugstad9:45
xG 0.54–0.36 (60%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Hayes – Howden – Trocheck2:53
xG 0.12–0.01 (91%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Fleischmann – Crabb – Trocheck3:38
xG 0.12–0.04 (74%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Crabb – Pirri – Howden4:14
xG 0.16–0.14 (54%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRobak – Kulikov15:18
xG 0.81–0.66 (55%)attempts 16–17goals 1–1
- Jovanovski – Olsen9:27
xG 0.30–0.35 (46%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Campbell – Gilbert15:58
xG 0.31–0.50 (38%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).