Sat, Mar 22, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Florida Panthers 0, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 08 | 08 | 08 | 024 |
| LAK | 210 | 14 | 115 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:03LAKTrevor LewisGWGAssists: Kyle Clifford, Willie Mitchell · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 17:16LAKMike RichardsAssists: Trevor Lewis, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 8:54LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jarret Stoll, Dwight King · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–3
- P3 11:59LAKAlec MartinezPPAssists: Slava Voynov, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:37FLAEd Jovanovski: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:03FLASean Bergenheim: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:47LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:12LAKWillie Mitchell: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:12FLAQuinton Howden: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Bjugstad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestGomez – Barch – Hayes7:26
xG 0.42–0.19 (69%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Crabb – Pirri – Howden9:22
xG 0.22–0.20 (52%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Fleischmann – Upshall – Trocheck9:41
xG 0.18–0.64 (22%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Boyes – Bergenheim – Bjugstad10:55
xG 0.31–1.08 (22%)attempts 6–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Jovanovski – Olsen9:22
xG 0.20–0.16 (55%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Gilbert – Kulikov2:30
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Jovanovski – Kulikov2:11
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Toffoli – Pearson7:22
xG 0.73–0.13 (84%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – King7:02
xG 0.60–0.02 (96%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Richards – Lewis – Clifford7:24
xG 0.46–0.24 (66%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Richards – Toffoli – Pearson2:00
xG 0.07–0.07 (49%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Doughty3:03
xG 0.95–0.22 (81%)attempts 6–3goals 2–0
- Regehr – Voynov16:13
xG 1.09–0.67 (62%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Martinez15:01
xG 0.11–0.01 (88%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).