Sat, Mar 22, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Boston Bruins 4, Phoenix Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 17 | 014 | 37 | 428 |
| PHX | 115 | 111 | 07 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Andrej Meszaros · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 11:45PHXShane DoanAssists: Brandon McMillan, Mike Ribeiro · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–1
- P2 0:39PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.43 xG1–2
- P3 3:48BOSJarome IginlaAssists: Zdeno Chara, Dougie Hamilton · Slap, 0.25 xG2–2
- P3 16:42BOSShawn ThorntonGWGAssists: Daniel Paille, Gregory Campbell · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–2
- P3 19:28BOSJarome IginlaENAssists: Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.55 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 15:21BOSDavid Krejci: Holding2 min
- P1 17:16PHXRadim Vrbata: Cross checking2 min
- P1 17:16BOSChris Kelly: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:13BOSMatt Bartkowski: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:02PHXKyle Chipchura: Holding2 min
- P2 10:06BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:06PHXMichael Stone: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:39PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:03BOSKevan Miller: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:44PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith7:56
xG 0.90–0.27 (77%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille6:11
xG 0.47–0.19 (71%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic15:06
xG 0.30–0.40 (43%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg8:36
xG 0.15–0.60 (20%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBartkowski – Miller10:38
xG 0.63–0.34 (65%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Boychuk – Bartkowski5:17
xG 0.27–0.06 (82%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Chara – Hamilton14:00
xG 0.43–0.54 (44%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestDoan – Ribeiro – McMillan8:38
xG 0.76–0.36 (68%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Halpern – Moss – Chipchura6:44
xG 0.38–0.10 (80%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Erat – Vrbata – Hanzal10:35
xG 0.22–0.31 (41%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker12:54
xG 0.16–0.81 (17%)attempts 5–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson16:56
xG 0.41–0.39 (51%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
- Morris – Yandle17:17
xG 0.94–0.93 (50%)attempts 16–22goals 1–2
- Summers – Stone10:10
xG 0.29–0.51 (36%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).