Sun, Mar 23, 2014·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, New York Islanders 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 08 | 016 | 017 | 041 |
| NYI | 18 | 115 | 09 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:26NYICal ClutterbuckGWGAssists: Frans Nielsen, Johan Sundstrom · Snap, 0.36 xG0–1
- P2 19:08NYITravis HamonicPPAssists: Calvin de Haan · Snap, 0.13 xG0–2
Penalties (15)
- P1 5:52NYIMatt Donovan: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:18NYICal Clutterbuck: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:18CBJFedor Tyutin: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:53CBJNick Foligno: Holding2 min
- P2 9:34CBJDerek MacKenzie: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:15NYIMatt Donovan: Holding2 min
- P2 18:22CBJFedor Tyutin: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 1:15NYIKyle Okposo: Holding2 min
- P3 7:06CBJBlake Comeau: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:06NYIMike Halmo: Instigator2 min
- P3 7:06NYIMike Halmo: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:06NYIMike Halmo: Misconduct10 min
- P3 8:41CBJNikita Nikitin: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:07NYIMatt Donovan: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:10NYIKevin Czuczman: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cizikas won the faceoff against MacKenzie
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Anisimov – Jenner2:27
xG 0.73–0.08 (90%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Anisimov5:01
xG 1.13–0.51 (69%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Letestu4:00
xG 0.36–0.02 (95%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Letestu – Atkinson2:21
xG 0.24–0.07 (77%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Wisniewski12:12
xG 1.01–0.63 (62%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Nikitin – Savard10:39
xG 1.14–0.79 (59%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Prout11:12
xG 0.59–0.43 (58%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestClutterbuck – Bailey – Nelson7:16
xG 0.63–0.41 (61%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- McDonald – Martin – Cizikas4:06
xG 0.14–0.15 (49%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Cizikas – Sundstrom – Halmo3:35
xG 0.13–0.14 (48%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Nielsen – Okposo – Lee9:15
xG 0.28–0.63 (31%)attempts 4–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHickey – Czuczman12:50
xG 1.04–0.80 (56%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Hamonic – de Haan11:18
xG 0.52–0.43 (55%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Carkner – Donovan10:51
xG 0.36–1.95 (16%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).