Mon, Mar 24, 2014·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 2, Boston Bruins 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 15 | 010 | 05 | 02 | 1 | 222 |
| BOS | 010 | 011 | 16 | 02 | 0 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:39MTLAlexei EmelinPPAssists: Daniel Brière, Brian Gionta · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P3 14:34BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Dougie Hamilton, Loui Eriksson · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 2. MTL Thomas Vanek stopped
- 3. BOS Jarome Iginla stopped
- 4. MTL David Desharnais stopped
- 5. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 6. MTL Daniel Brière stopped
- 7. BOS David Krejci stopped
- 8. MTL Alex Galchenyuk scored
Penalties (14)
- P1 1:19BOSZdeno Chara: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:50BOSKevan Miller: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 4:50BOSKevan Miller: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:50MTLTravis Moen: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:09BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:44MTLRene Bourque: Holding2 min
- P2 10:56MTLMichael Bournival: Holding2 min
- P2 12:13BOSCarl Soderberg: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 15:56BOSJarome Iginla: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:12BOSJohnny Boychuk: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:43MTLTomas Plekanec: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:26MTLDouglas Murray: Holding2 min
- P3 8:39MTLBrendan Gallagher: Holding2 min
- P3 12:36MTLFrancis Bouillon: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Desharnais
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Plekanec – Gallagher – Galchenyuk8:52
xG 0.23–0.27 (45%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Gionta – Bourque – Bournival3:28
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Brière – Gionta – Bourque7:13
xG 0.06–0.23 (21%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Vanek – Desharnais – Pacioretty9:33
xG 0.02–0.22 (7%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Bouillon – Subban11:46
xG 0.19–0.38 (33%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Murray – Weaver7:27
xG 0.03–0.28 (10%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Markov – Emelin11:50
xG 0.06–0.32 (16%)attempts 3–15goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith8:17
xG 0.37–0.06 (87%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic11:25
xG 0.43–0.15 (74%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg7:20
xG 0.18–0.04 (80%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Paille4:27
xG 0.09–0.04 (68%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Hamilton8:42
xG 0.19–0.05 (78%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Boychuk – Krug3:05
xG 0.16–0.06 (72%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Boychuk – Bartkowski9:22
xG 0.16–0.10 (61%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).