Thu, Mar 27, 2014·Prudential Center, Newark
Phoenix Coyotes 3, New Jersey Devils 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 18 | 16 | 011 | 02 | 1 | 327 |
| NJD | 04 | 113 | 18 | 03 | 0 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:21PHXKyle ChipchuraAssists: Lauri Korpikoski, Chris Summers · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 16:57PHXChris SummersAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Radim Vrbata · Slap, 0.03 xG2–0
- P2 19:59NJDRyane CloweAssists: Jon Merrill, Jacob Josefson · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 10:32NJDAdam HenriqueAssists: Patrik Elias, Martin Brodeur · Wrap-around, 0.07 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NJD Damien Brunner stopped
- 2. PHX Mikkel Boedker scored
- 3. NJD Ryane Clowe stopped
- 4. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 5. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:02PHXChris Summers: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:36NJDEric Gelinas: Interference2 min
- P1 12:04NJDJaromir Jagr: Holding2 min
- P1 18:03NJDRyane Clowe: Cross checking2 min
- P2 2:11PHXLauri Korpikoski: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:53PHXZbynek Michalek: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:16PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Halpern won the faceoff against Elias
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- Chipchura – Korpikoski – Klinkhammer4:48
xG 0.33–0.34 (49%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
- Halpern – Erat – Moss2:10
xG 0.01–0.05 (17%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Boedker7:07
xG 0.10–0.14 (42%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Hanzal – McMillan5:29
xG 0.05–0.15 (24%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson8:29
xG 0.03–0.06 (32%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Yandle – Stone10:09
xG 0.11–0.14 (44%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Summers – Murphy6:41
xG 0.38–0.42 (48%)attempts 4–6goals 2–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Zubrus – Zajac6:52
xG 0.47–0.04 (93%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Elias – Henrique – Brunner5:58
xG 0.24–0.08 (74%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Ryder – Clowe – Josefson2:21
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Ruutu – Clowe – Josefson3:00
xG 0.02–0.01 (70%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Harrold2:08
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Fayne – Greene7:05
xG 0.12–0.02 (85%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Merrill8:44
xG 0.11–0.16 (41%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).