Thu, Mar 27, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Winnipeg Jets 4, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 110 | 29 | 112 | 431 |
| SJS | 211 | 110 | 09 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:57SJSDan BoyleAssists: Martin Havlat, James Sheppard · Deflected, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 2:33WPGAndrew LaddAssists: Michael Frolik, Bryan Little · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 14:27SJSBrent BurnsPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Patrick Marleau · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 1:55WPGBlake WheelerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 9:32WPGDustin ByfuglienPPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Michael Frolik · Slap, 0.09 xG3–2
- P2 11:23SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: James Sheppard, Martin Havlat · Tip-in, 0.15 xG3–3
- P3 16:24WPGToby EnstromPPGWGAssists: Blake Wheeler, Bryan Little · Snap, 0.09 xG4–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:44WPGAdam Pardy: Holding2 min
- P1 13:30WPGDustin Byfuglien: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 2:08SJSAndrew Desjardins: Holding2 min
- P2 7:19WPGPaul Postma: Holding2 min
- P2 8:19SJSJoe Thornton: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 9:47WPGJacob Trouba: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:56SJSDan Boyle: Holding2 min
- P2 19:06SJSJames Sheppard: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:06WPGMark Stuart: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:07SJSBrad Stuart: Holding2 min
- P3 15:57SJSLogan Couture: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Little – Frolik11:13
xG 1.57–0.77 (67%)attempts 21–11goals 1–0
- Halischuk – O'Dell – Kane10:36
xG 0.57–0.19 (75%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Slater – Tangradi – Peluso4:44
xG 0.03–0.73 (4%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Ellerby8:25
xG 1.05–0.33 (76%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Pardy – Postma7:02
xG 0.25–0.21 (54%)attempts 5–8goals 1–1
- Stuart – Trouba9:23
xG 0.49–0.76 (39%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Kennedy – Brown – Desjardins6:04
xG 0.08–0.03 (69%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Havlat – Sheppard – Wingels8:29
xG 0.27–0.35 (44%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Marleau – Couture – Nieto9:10
xG 0.13–0.74 (15%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Demers9:46
xG 0.16–0.18 (46%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Stuart – Braun8:48
xG 0.12–0.36 (25%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Boyle – Irwin7:27
xG 0.16–0.65 (20%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).