Fri, Mar 28, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 09 | 09 | 213 | 231 |
| CBJ | 013 | 08 | 115 | 136 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 10:35PITChris KunitzAssists: Sidney Crosby, Deryk Engelland · Snap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P3 11:22PITBeau BennettGWGAssists: Robert Bortuzzo · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P3 16:54CBJMatt CalvertPPAssists: James Wisniewski, Jack Johnson · Deflected, 0.01 xG2–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 6:28PITCraig Adams: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:43PITRobert Bortuzzo: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:43CBJNick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:05PITSimon Despres: Holding2 min
- P1 11:22CBJDerek MacKenzie: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:40CBJJack Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:40PITChris Kunitz: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:29PITDeryk Engelland: Interference2 min
- P2 6:04CBJJames Wisniewski: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:58CBJJames Wisniewski: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:55CBJDerek MacKenzie: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:01PITChris Kunitz: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00MacKenzie won the faceoff against Sutter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestJokinen – Neal – Bennett7:03
xG 0.43–0.02 (95%)attempts 10–2goals 1–0
- Kunitz – Stempniak – Crosby6:56
xG 0.71–0.48 (60%)attempts 14–9goals 1–0
- Kunitz – Crosby – Neal2:26
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Adams – Glass – Megna5:11
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEngelland – Despres7:48
xG 0.72–0.14 (83%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Engelland3:02
xG 0.08–0.01 (86%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Niskanen9:56
xG 0.23–0.33 (41%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson9:12
xG 0.53–0.11 (82%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
- Umberger – Foligno – Anisimov6:35
xG 0.42–0.02 (95%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Horton – Johansen – Jenner10:22
xG 0.23–0.26 (46%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Letestu7:41
xG 0.15–0.31 (33%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Savard11:06
xG 0.54–0.08 (87%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Johnson – Prout13:07
xG 0.39–0.60 (39%)attempts 13–17goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Wisniewski13:05
xG 0.43–0.82 (34%)attempts 9–18goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).