Sat, Mar 29, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Winnipeg Jets 2, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 011 | 04 | 211 | 226 |
| LAK | 316 | 07 | 16 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:42LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Kyle Clifford, Jake Muzzin · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 7:53LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Marian Gaborik · Tip-in, 0.01 xG0–2
- P1 17:37LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Marian Gaborik, Willie Mitchell · Backhand, 0.18 xG0–3
- P3 1:54WPGMatt HalischukAssists: Evander Kane, Eric O'Dell · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 4:59LAKTyler ToffoliAssists: Tanner Pearson, Willie Mitchell · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–4
- P3 8:56WPGBlake WheelerPPAssists: Bryan Little, Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:53LAKSlava Voynov: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:55WPGEvander Kane: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:29LAKJake Muzzin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:49LAKAnze Kopitar: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:00WPGBryan Little: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Little won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestHalischuk – O'Dell – Kane10:54
xG 1.13–0.46 (71%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Ladd – Little – Frolik12:51
xG 0.61–0.28 (68%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Slater – Tangradi – Peluso6:00
xG 0.00–0.26 (0%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPostma – Ellerby2:37
xG 0.56–0.14 (81%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Enstrom – Pardy3:45
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Pardy – Postma5:01
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Toffoli – Pearson8:15
xG 0.52–0.22 (70%)attempts 10–6goals 1–1
- Stoll – Brown – King10:25
xG 0.49–0.24 (67%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Williams – Kopitar11:49
xG 0.72–0.62 (54%)attempts 11–10goals 2–0
- Richards – Lewis – Clifford8:30
xG 0.29–0.37 (44%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Martinez11:26
xG 0.80–0.31 (72%)attempts 14–9goals 3–1
- Regehr – Voynov14:14
xG 0.89–0.59 (60%)attempts 19–13goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty2:31
xG 0.01–0.03 (25%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).