Tue, Apr 1, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Colorado Avalanche 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 08 | 09 | 27 | 14 | 328 |
| CBJ | 05 | 212 | 08 | 01 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:52CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 15:59CBJBlake ComeauAssists: Nick Foligno, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–2
- P3 9:46COLBrad MaloneAssists: Marc-Andre Cliche, Nick Holden · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P3 15:03COLGabriel LandeskogAssists: Nathan MacKinnon, Paul Stastny · Tip-in, 0.16 xG2–2
- OT 4:27COLGabriel LandeskogPPGWGAssists: Tyson Barrie, Nathan MacKinnon · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:21CBJDerek MacKenzie: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:21COLBrad Malone: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:08COLJohn Mitchell: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:35COLJohn Mitchell: Hooking2 min
- OT 2:39CBJArtem Anisimov: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00MacKinnon won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Colorado Avalanche
Forward lines
- bestStastny – Landeskog – MacKinnon3:13
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
- Talbot – Bordeleau – McLeod2:09
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- McGinn – O'Reilly – MacKinnon10:47
xG 0.34–0.34 (50%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Bordeleau – Carey – Malone3:34
xG 0.09–0.14 (38%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSarich – Barrie3:46
xG 0.22–0.10 (69%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Holden – Barrie2:26
xG 0.11–0.12 (48%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Johnson – Barrie2:48
xG 0.03–0.11 (20%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestLetestu – Johansen – Jenner16:26
xG 0.48–0.13 (79%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Comeau – Foligno – Anisimov4:55
xG 0.36–0.03 (93%)attempts 4–3goals 1–1
- MacKenzie – Comeau – Boll3:21
xG 0.15–0.09 (64%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Anisimov – Tropp7:16
xG 0.15–0.09 (63%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Wisniewski19:34
xG 1.11–0.17 (87%)attempts 20–5goals 1–0
- Nikitin – Savard12:32
xG 0.42–0.23 (64%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
- Johnson – Prout19:26
xG 0.41–0.58 (42%)attempts 15–18goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it COL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − COL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).