Tue, Apr 1, 2014·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Philadelphia Flyers 0, St. Louis Blues 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 010 | 08 | 09 | 04 | 0 | 031 |
| STL | 011 | 08 | 07 | 02 | 2 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. STL T.J. Oshie scored
- 2. PHI Vincent Lecavalier stopped
- 3. STL Alexander Steen stopped
- 4. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 5. STL Kevin Shattenkirk scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:43STLBarret Jackman: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:28PHIAndrew MacDonald: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:28STLAlexander Steen: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:24PHIAndrew MacDonald: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:58PHISean Couturier: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:03STLVladimir Sobotka: High sticking2 min
- P3 18:36PHIClaude Giroux: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Giroux won the faceoff against Backes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Giroux – Voracek11:40
xG 0.30–0.23 (56%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Read – Couturier – Raffl7:51
xG 0.30–0.28 (51%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Schenn – McGinn9:40
xG 0.28–0.32 (47%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Lecavalier – Hall – Rinaldo5:49
xG 0.03–0.62 (5%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStreit – Grossmann2:02
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Coburn – MacDonald5:08
xG 0.11–0.07 (62%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Streit – MacDonald14:01
xG 0.47–0.52 (47%)attempts 13–13goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestRoy – Lapierre – Reaves6:32
xG 0.40–0.15 (72%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Ott – Berglund – Paajarvi9:20
xG 0.13–0.11 (53%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Morrow – Sobotka – Schwartz12:16
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Steen – Backes – Oshie10:04
xG 0.30–0.40 (43%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJackman – Polak14:05
xG 0.87–0.31 (73%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Colaiacovo – Shattenkirk12:44
xG 0.54–0.37 (59%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo16:42
xG 0.54–0.61 (47%)attempts 20–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).