Fri, Apr 4, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Edmonton Oilers 3, Phoenix Coyotes 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 19 | 06 | 110 | 01 | 1 | 326 |
| PHX | 06 | 110 | 19 | 01 | 0 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:15EDMJustin SchultzAssists: Jordan Eberle, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 14:32PHXOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Mikkel Boedker · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P3 12:42PHXKyle ChipchuraAssists: Martin Erat, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P3 19:19EDMSam GagnerAssists: Jordan Eberle · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. PHX Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 2. EDM Jordan Eberle stopped
- 3. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 4. EDM David Perron stopped
- 5. PHX Antoine Vermette stopped
- 6. EDM Matt Hendricks stopped
- 7. PHX Oliver Ekman-Larsson stopped
- 8. EDM Sam Gagner scored
Penalties (3)
- P2 6:47PHXKeith Yandle: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:19EDMJeff Petry: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 13:43EDMAnton Belov: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Nugent-Hopkins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestGagner – Perron – Lander8:22
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Smyth – Gordon – Pinizzotto7:31
xG 0.25–0.18 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Eberle – Hall – Nugent-Hopkins17:33
xG 0.58–0.55 (52%)attempts 10–18goals 1–0
- Hendricks – Gagner – Perron4:10
xG 0.09–0.14 (41%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFraser – Belov8:30
xG 0.26–0.03 (88%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Schultz – Klefbom14:01
xG 0.42–0.34 (55%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
- Fraser – Schultz2:21
xG 0.09–0.06 (58%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestErat – Vrbata – Chipchura3:30
xG 0.18–0.01 (93%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Doan – Vermette – Boedker13:46
xG 0.27–0.14 (65%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Ribeiro – Moss – McMillan4:15
xG 0.14–0.04 (78%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Halpern – Moss – Korpikoski2:07
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMichalek – Ekman-Larsson17:40
xG 0.77–0.30 (72%)attempts 21–6goals 1–1
- Morris – Yandle4:21
xG 0.04–0.02 (70%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Morris – Summers13:32
xG 0.09–0.25 (27%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).