Sat, Apr 5, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 1, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 012 | 17 | 07 | 126 |
| VAN | 011 | 09 | 220 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 19:32LAKSlava VoynovPPAssists: Jeff Carter, Marian Gaborik · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P3 1:06VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 18:37VANBrad RichardsonGWGAssists: Zack Kassian, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
Penalties (9)
- P2 8:10LAKMatt Greene: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 9:00VANKevin Bieksa: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:36LAKMike Richards: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:15VANFrank Corrado: Interference2 min
- P2 17:42VANFrank Corrado: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 0:19LAKDustin Brown: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 2:38LAKJustin Williams: Boarding2 min
- P3 7:25LAKJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:37LAKJonathan Quick: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Williams – Kopitar10:21
xG 0.55–0.27 (67%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Lewis – Clifford – Nolan7:29
xG 0.13–0.17 (44%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – Toffoli9:09
xG 0.57–0.62 (48%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – Pearson10:14
xG 0.10–0.30 (26%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Voynov2:19
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov3:18
xG 0.16–0.09 (63%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Martinez13:11
xG 0.57–0.56 (50%)attempts 17–13goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHansen – Sestito – Matthias4:47
xG 0.58–0.07 (89%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Hansen3:12
xG 0.23–0.03 (89%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Higgins – Jensen4:15
xG 0.09–0.02 (82%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Kesler4:28
xG 0.07–0.02 (79%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Garrison16:37
xG 0.83–0.49 (63%)attempts 20–15goals 0–0
- Stanton – Corrado10:10
xG 0.37–0.21 (64%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler17:24
xG 0.94–0.80 (54%)attempts 19–22goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).