Mon, Apr 7, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Anaheim Ducks 3, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 111 | 17 | 15 | 323 |
| VAN | 06 | 03 | 09 | 018 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:26ANADaniel WinnikSHGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 17:03ANAKyle PalmieriAssists: Ben Lovejoy, Bryan Allen · Deflected, 0.01 xG2–0
- P3 1:20ANAMatt BeleskeyAssists: Corey Perry, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:01ANAHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:06ANASaku Koivu: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:46VANBrad Richardson: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:45ANANick Bonino: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:45VANBrad Richardson: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:54ANAMathieu Perreault: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:54VANDan Hamhuis: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:52ANAMatt Beleskey: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Cogliano – Silfverberg9:05
xG 0.25–0.06 (80%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Selanne – Perreault – Maroon9:20
xG 0.04–0.29 (13%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Beleskey10:34
xG 0.09–0.61 (13%)attempts 4–14goals 1–0
- Winnik – Bonino – Palmieri9:30
xG 0.08–0.63 (11%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Allen – Lovejoy14:40
xG 0.12–0.35 (25%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Beauchemin – Lindholm14:05
xG 0.08–0.42 (16%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Robidas – Sbisa13:48
xG 0.49–0.87 (36%)attempts 11–19goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Kesler – Hansen6:51
xG 0.34–0.01 (98%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Burrows – Richardson – Kassian3:44
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Jensen6:43
xG 0.26–0.02 (92%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Burrows – Sestito – Matthias2:20
xG 0.07–0.03 (70%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Edler15:39
xG 0.90–0.12 (88%)attempts 22–9goals 0–1
- Weber – Stanton11:30
xG 0.52–0.14 (78%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Garrison13:50
xG 0.34–0.23 (59%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).