Wed, Apr 9, 2014·Honda Center, Anaheim
San Jose Sharks 2, Anaheim Ducks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 112 | 111 | 015 | 238 |
| ANA | 111 | 312 | 17 | 530 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:17SJSJason DemersAssists: Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 19:57ANACorey PerryAssists: Matt Beleskey, Francois Beauchemin · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 3:32ANAPatrick MaroonAssists: Teemu Selanne, Mathieu Perreault · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 7:23SJSLogan CoutureUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 9:35ANAPatrick MaroonGWGAssists: Teemu Selanne, Hampus Lindholm · Slap, 0.08 xG2–3
- P2 16:46ANAMatt BeleskeyAssists: Corey Perry, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–4
- P3 18:22ANAJakob SilfverbergENAssists: Andrew Cogliano · Wrist, 0.52 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:26SJSBrent Burns: Interference2 min
- P1 8:41ANAKyle Palmieri: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 14:50ANABen Lovejoy: Tripping2 min
- P1 0:00SJSJames Sheppard: Cross checking2 min
- P1 0:00ANARyan Getzlaf: Slashing2 min
- P1 0:00ANAFrancois Beauchemin: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:06SJSScott Hannan: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:35ANAMatt Beleskey: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:35SJSAlex Stalock: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 17:16ANABryan Allen: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Nieto11:17
xG 0.85–0.40 (68%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Kennedy – Brown – Desjardins5:02
xG 0.20–0.14 (58%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Kearns – Sheppard – Wingels9:45
xG 0.28–0.40 (41%)attempts 9–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestHannan – Boyle9:01
xG 0.85–0.33 (72%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Vlasic – Demers8:57
xG 0.10–0.11 (47%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Stuart – Braun10:00
xG 0.37–0.56 (40%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Cogliano – Silfverberg10:34
xG 0.87–0.53 (62%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Selanne – Perreault – Maroon7:41
xG 0.17–0.10 (64%)attempts 6–6goals 2–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Beleskey10:17
xG 0.64–0.61 (51%)attempts 11–9goals 2–1
- Winnik – Bonino – Palmieri8:13
xG 0.25–0.26 (49%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAllen – Lovejoy7:26
xG 0.85–0.59 (59%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
- Robidas – Allen7:27
xG 0.42–0.18 (70%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Beauchemin – Lindholm13:10
xG 0.57–0.59 (49%)attempts 18–13goals 3–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).