Thu, Apr 10, 2014·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Boston Bruins 1, Winnipeg Jets 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 16 | 015 | 010 | 02 | 0 | 133 |
| WPG | 012 | 08 | 115 | 02 | 1 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:12BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Reilly Smith, David Krejci · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–0
- P3 18:03WPGEvander KaneAssists: Blake Wheeler, Toby Enstrom · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Reilly Smith stopped
- 2. WPG Bryan Little scored
- 3. BOS Ryan Spooner stopped
- 4. WPG Olli Jokinen stopped
- 5. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:47WPGOlli Jokinen: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:04BOSJordan Caron: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:17WPGEric Tangradi: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:17BOSTorey Krug: Holding2 min
- P2 12:48WPGAdam Pardy: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:59WPGMark Stuart: High sticking2 min
- OT 4:20WPGOlli Jokinen: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Smith – Spooner7:54
xG 0.60–0.29 (67%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Caron8:32
xG 0.62–0.37 (62%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Paille – Eriksson – Soderberg9:27
xG 0.02–0.33 (5%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic13:29
xG 0.82–1.18 (41%)attempts 13–25goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Bartkowski14:54
xG 0.97–0.49 (67%)attempts 12–15goals 0–1
- Hamilton – Krug7:55
xG 0.33–0.12 (74%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug3:19
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 3–8goals 1–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestJokinen – Wheeler – Tangradi12:53
xG 1.23–0.54 (70%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- Slater – Halischuk – O'Dell7:55
xG 0.26–0.30 (47%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Peluso – Cormier – Klingberg8:07
xG 0.27–0.62 (31%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Little – Frolik – Kane12:29
xG 0.25–1.10 (18%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Enstrom – Postma14:33
xG 0.62–0.65 (49%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Stuart – Trouba14:16
xG 0.76–0.83 (48%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Pardy – Redmond15:23
xG 0.68–0.88 (44%)attempts 19–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).