Sun, Apr 13, 2014·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 2, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 15 | 04 | 19 | 218 |
| NJD | 113 | 011 | 27 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:12NJDMarek ZidlickyAssists: Travis Zajac, Patrik Elias · Wrap-around, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 19:28BOSLoui ErikssonPPAssists: Carl Soderberg, Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.21 xG1–1
- P3 3:52NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Jaromir Jagr, Jon Merrill · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–2
- P3 6:13NJDMarek ZidlickyPPGWGAssists: Damien Brunner, Jaromir Jagr · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 19:44BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Carl Soderberg, Loui Eriksson · Backhand, 0.32 xG2–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:13BOSAlex Khokhlachev: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:13NJDDamien Brunner: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:39NJDPeter Harrold: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 5:50BOSGregory Campbell: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 13:05BOSDougie Hamilton: Holding2 min
- P3 18:50NJDMichael Ryder: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Soderberg won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Thornton – Campbell – Lindblad10:23
xG 0.12–0.23 (35%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Soderberg – Florek10:40
xG 0.13–0.36 (26%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Soderberg – Lindblad2:01
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Marchand – Smith – Khokhlachev12:54
xG 0.40–0.75 (35%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Miller – Krug9:07
xG 0.16–0.31 (34%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Potter – Krug4:12
xG 0.06–0.26 (19%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Meszaros – Hamilton9:35
xG 0.10–0.31 (24%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZubrus – Sislo – Brunner8:11
xG 0.80–0.02 (98%)attempts 12–1goals 0–0
- Jagr – Ryder – Zajac2:48
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Jagr – Elias – Zajac8:09
xG 0.36–0.17 (67%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Ryder – Ruutu – Sestito6:07
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene6:28
xG 0.56–0.16 (78%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Harrold – Larsson8:48
xG 0.40–0.11 (79%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Greene – Larsson11:06
xG 0.42–0.15 (73%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).