Sun, Apr 13, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Dallas Stars 1, Phoenix Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 15 | 03 | 09 | 117 |
| PHX | 012 | 112 | 17 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:35DALColton SceviourPPAssists: Vernon Fiddler, Sergei Gonchar · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–0
- P2 0:31PHXShane DoanAssists: Zbynek Michalek, Mikkel Boedker · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–1
- P3 17:29PHXDavid MossGWGAssists: Martin Erat, Jeff Halpern · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:27PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 1:17DALTyler Seguin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 14:46DALTyler Seguin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 15:03PHXAntoine Vermette: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:19DALSergei Gonchar: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:40DALAlex Chiasson: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:06DALPatrik Nemeth: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:42PHXKeith Yandle: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:42DALAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:42DALAntoine Roussel: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Mueller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- Roussel – Eakin – Garbutt8:04
xG 0.15–0.23 (40%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Horcoff – Seguin – Nichushkin8:51
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
- Cole – Fiddler – Chiasson8:41
xG 0.15–0.38 (28%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Sceviour – Jeffrey – Mueller10:23
xG 0.10–0.37 (22%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Rome – Nemeth2:10
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Gonchar – Benn2:01
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Benn6:32
xG 0.09–0.11 (45%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBissonnette – Chipchura – Klinkhammer9:03
xG 0.56–0.16 (78%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Boedker12:30
xG 0.42–0.08 (84%)attempts 15–2goals 1–0
- Ribeiro – Erat – Vrbata9:25
xG 0.36–0.14 (73%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Halpern – Erat – Moss2:08
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Murphy11:22
xG 0.65–0.14 (82%)attempts 12–3goals 0–0
- Michalek – Gormley15:25
xG 0.44–0.15 (75%)attempts 11–5goals 2–0
- Morris – Yandle14:56
xG 0.47–0.42 (52%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).