Thu, Oct 16, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
St. Louis Blues 0, Los Angeles Kings 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 09 | 014 | 016 | 04 | 0 | 043 |
| LAK | 07 | 03 | 08 | 00 | 1 | 118 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. LAK Jeff Carter scored
- 2. STL T.J. Oshie stopped
- 3. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 4. STL Alexander Steen stopped
- 5. LAK Tyler Toffoli stopped
- 6. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:22LAKJarret Stoll: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:35STLVladimir Tarasenko: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 10:38LAKJustin Williams: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 17:25STLSteve Ott: Charging2 min
- P2 6:43STLIan Cole: Interference2 min
- P2 9:45STLAlexander Steen: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:45LAKJonathan Quick: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:03LAKJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:42LAKJustin Williams: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 7:52STLIan Cole: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Stastny – Tarasenko4:44
xG 1.20–0.10 (92%)attempts 16–3goals 0–0
- Lehtera – Tarasenko – Schwartz6:12
xG 0.34–0.08 (82%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Lindstrom – Steen – Stastny4:29
xG 0.16–0.03 (86%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Backes – Oshie – Berglund9:33
xG 0.20–0.11 (63%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Pietrangelo15:03
xG 0.87–0.20 (81%)attempts 21–10goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Shattenkirk11:24
xG 0.73–0.25 (74%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Jackman – Leopold9:56
xG 0.23–0.01 (98%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Williams – Richards – Kopitar5:24
xG 0.05–0.05 (49%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Carter – Richards – Pearson2:11
xG 0.07–0.10 (42%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – King – Toffoli2:34
xG 0.06–0.11 (35%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – King6:24
xG 0.01–0.08 (6%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Doughty3:03
xG 0.13–0.02 (88%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Greene – McNabb2:28
xG 0.03–0.06 (30%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Greene – Martinez8:48
xG 0.04–0.09 (32%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).