Sun, Oct 26, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 17 | 110 | 07 | 224 |
| LAK | 09 | 39 | 29 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:39CBJTim ErixonPPAssists: Scott Hartnell, Ryan Johansen · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–0
- P2 3:04LAKJeff CarterPPAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 16:30LAKTyler ToffoliAssists: Jeff Carter, Robyn Regehr · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 18:32LAKDwight KingGWGAssists: Justin Williams, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–3
- P2 19:04CBJMark LetestuAssists: Corey Tropp, Dalton Prout · Snap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 11:49LAKTanner PearsonAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Brayden McNabb · Snap, 0.05 xG2–4
- P3 15:26LAKTanner PearsonAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:55LAKMatt Greene: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:55CBJCorey Tropp: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:55LAKMatt Greene: Instigator2 min
- P1 1:55LAKMatt Greene: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P1 2:26CBJScott Hartnell: Roughing2 min
- P1 14:09LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 1:32CBJArtem Anisimov: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 2:42CBJRyan Johansen: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:59LAKJake Muzzin: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:49CBJJames Wisniewski: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Skille – Anisimov – Letestu2:29
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Tropp – Chaput2:45
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Skille – Johansen2:36
xG 0.20–0.21 (49%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Skille – Letestu2:00
xG 0.06–0.08 (44%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Johnson – Prout11:43
xG 0.42–0.38 (52%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Wisniewski – Murray16:01
xG 0.38–0.35 (52%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Tyutin – Erixon2:17
xG 0.00–0.49 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Toffoli – Pearson10:49
xG 0.67–0.16 (81%)attempts 18–3goals 3–1
- Williams – Stoll – Andreoff5:16
xG 0.54–0.22 (71%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Williams – Richards – King4:57
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Richards – Clifford – Nolan4:43
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Martinez15:14
xG 0.91–0.40 (70%)attempts 15–16goals 2–1
- Muzzin – Doughty15:38
xG 0.54–0.10 (85%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
- Doughty – McNabb2:39
xG 0.18–0.05 (78%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).