Thu, Oct 30, 2014·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Kings 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 010 | 010 | 016 | 036 |
| PIT | 210 | 06 | 17 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:16PITChris KunitzPPGWGAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Patric Hornqvist · Tip-in, 0.25 xG0–1
- P1 15:14PITKris LetangPPAssists: Chris Kunitz · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–2
- P3 9:24PITChris KunitzAssists: Sidney Crosby, Christian Ehrhoff · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 3:28LAKAndy Andreoff: Tripping2 min
- P1 6:25PITEvgeni Malkin: Slashing2 min
- P1 7:21LAKTyler Toffoli: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:42LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P1 14:24LAKMike Richards: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 4:20LAKDustin Brown: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:12LAKJarret Stoll: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 9:12PITSteve Downie: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:12PITSteve Downie: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 14:07LAKMike Richards: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:29LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:29PITEvgeni Malkin: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:15PITSimon Despres: Interference2 min
- P3 18:49PITCraig Adams: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Carter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestStoll – Brown – Clifford2:22
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Stoll – Clifford – Nolan3:01
xG 0.23–0.14 (62%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Pearson6:25
xG 0.13–0.06 (68%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Clifford3:53
xG 0.03–0.02 (66%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – McNabb6:44
xG 0.50–0.01 (97%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty19:24
xG 0.52–0.48 (52%)attempts 19–15goals 0–0
- Regehr – Martinez12:46
xG 0.23–0.77 (23%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestKunitz – Crosby – Hornqvist9:12
xG 0.67–0.29 (70%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Dupuis – Downie – Sutter3:49
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Downie – Sutter – Spaling4:34
xG 0.04–0.03 (56%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Malkin – Comeau – Spaling2:01
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartin – Ehrhoff11:43
xG 0.65–0.18 (79%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Letang – Maatta10:48
xG 0.16–0.51 (24%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Scuderi – Despres14:00
xG 0.21–0.60 (26%)attempts 5–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).