Sat, Nov 1, 2014·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 111 | 015 | 234 |
| NJD | 011 | 16 | 212 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:06CBJJack SkilleAssists: Brian Gibbons, Nick Foligno · Snap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 4:32NJDMarek ZidlickyPPAssists: Michael Ryder, Damon Severson · Snap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 12:30CBJNick FolignoPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Brian Gibbons · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–1
- P3 8:54NJDAdam HenriquePPAssists: Jaromir Jagr, Marek Zidlicky · Snap, 0.32 xG2–2
- P3 10:35NJDAdam LarssonGWGAssists: Bryce Salvador, Patrik Elias · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 4:08CBJJack Johnson: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:04NJDJon Merrill: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 16:45CBJCody Goloubef: Interference2 min
- P1 19:00NJDAndy Greene: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:26CBJRyan Johansen: Holding2 min
- P2 4:24CBJJared Boll: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P2 10:56NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:38CBJAdam Cracknell: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 13:55NJDRyane Clowe: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:55CBJScott Hartnell: Embellishment2 min
- P3 15:18NJDMarek Zidlicky: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:10CBJNick Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:00CBJScott Hartnell: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Elias won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestSkille – Foligno – Gibbons9:15
xG 0.25–0.04 (87%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Hartnell – Atkinson – Johansen13:40
xG 0.38–0.32 (54%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Boll – Collins – Chaput5:54
xG 0.04–0.09 (31%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Cracknell – Dano – Wennberg6:05
xG 0.07–0.13 (35%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Murray16:59
xG 0.44–0.26 (62%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Johnson12:43
xG 0.34–0.20 (63%)attempts 8–6goals 1–1
- Goloubef – Erixon10:11
xG 0.11–0.20 (36%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestElias – Zubrus – Brunner3:15
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Clowe – Josefson – Brunner2:30
xG 0.05–0.04 (55%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Ruutu – Gionta – Josefson4:45
xG 0.06–0.06 (50%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Ryder – Henrique – Boucher5:41
xG 0.05–0.05 (48%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Merrill – Larsson11:44
xG 0.17–0.17 (50%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Salvador – Zidlicky10:12
xG 0.09–0.29 (24%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Greene – Severson12:22
xG 0.18–0.53 (26%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).