Sun, Nov 9, 2014·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 2, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 19 | 113 | 012 | 234 |
| CHI | 320 | 06 | 211 | 537 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:00CHIKris VersteegAssists: Trevor van Riemsdyk, Jonathan Toews · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 14:10CHIBrent SeabrookAssists: Brad Richards, Peter Regin · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 14:34CHINiklas HjalmarssonGWGAssists: Marian Hossa, Marcus Kruger · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–3
- P1 15:32SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Justin Braun, Joe Thornton · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–3
- P2 4:51SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau · Snap, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 15:18CHIBryan BickellAssists: Johnny Oduya, Brandon Saad · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–4
- P3 18:03CHIJonathan ToewsENAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.60 xG2–5
Penalties (12)
- P2 2:57CHIAndrew Shaw: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 4:57SJSJason Demers: High sticking2 min
- P3 9:06CHIDavid Rundblad: Holding2 min
- P3 18:03SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:03CHIKris Versteeg: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:03CHIKris Versteeg: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:03SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:26CHIJeremy Morin: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:26SJSAdam Burish: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:26SJSAdam Burish: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:59SJSBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:04SJSScott Hannan: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Nieto10:17
xG 0.42–0.18 (70%)attempts 14–9goals 1–1
- Burish – Desjardins – Goodrow5:54
xG 0.25–0.22 (53%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Marleau – Couture – Wingels12:00
xG 0.31–0.60 (34%)attempts 6–15goals 0–1
- Kennedy – Sheppard – Hertl11:14
xG 0.23–0.60 (28%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Braun15:55
xG 0.41–0.50 (45%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- Hannan – Demers12:49
xG 0.43–0.59 (42%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Burns – Mueller16:24
xG 0.25–0.88 (22%)attempts 14–19goals 0–3
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Shaw – Saad8:42
xG 0.67–0.25 (73%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Versteeg – Toews – Kane13:52
xG 0.70–0.33 (68%)attempts 16–11goals 1–0
- Richards – Regin – Morin5:31
xG 0.22–0.08 (74%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Hossa – Smith – Kruger10:49
xG 0.40–0.30 (57%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Rundblad9:36
xG 0.64–0.10 (86%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson19:21
xG 0.70–0.35 (66%)attempts 23–11goals 2–0
- Oduya – Seabrook2:03
xG 0.07–0.16 (32%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).